Shelf Crisis

Excerpt from Russian Petroleum Investor by

There should be a postponement of shelf projects until economic times are better, according to Russian deputy prime minister Igor Sechin. “In the near future, the shelf will not have major promise because it requres serious capital investments and will not pay off quickly given the current situation in the market.” he said. In today’s conditions of global financial crisis, nobody can any longer afford such volume of investments -- not the government, state companies or private traders.

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Iranian Insider: Scrutiny Returns to Oil Revenue Use

Excerpt from Caspian Investor by Kent F. Moors, Ph.D., Contributing Editor

On February 17, an Iranian National Audit Office report ignited another round in the political fight over oil sale proceeds. However, for the first time, this one clearly indicates that Ahmadinejad officials have been illegally withholding funds. Issued for the Majlis (parliament), the analysis reveals that the government did not return to the treasury $1.058 billion of surplus oil revenues from the 2006-2007 budget. “This is certain to put the current government under renewed pressure,” an editor at the Tehran Times told us on February 20. “Even some of the president’s main supports are criticizing such actions.”

The report also stated that there had been no mention in government documents of the $61 million paid in taxes by the National Iranian Oil Co. (NIOC). In a related matter, “The government purchased a large amount of gasoline and gas oil during the current Iranian year [to end March 20] without parliamentary approval,” said Hamid-Reza Katouzian, head of the Majlis Energy Committee, on February 15. He called on the Majlis Presiding Board to conduct a serious probe into the situation

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NDPI Differentiation; ESPO

Excerpts from Russian Petroleum Investor

NDPI Differentiation: The First Results of Tax Reform
By Denis Borisov,Analyst of Investment & Financial Company Solid
In January 2007, a process began of differentiating the mineral extraction tax (NDPI). This has consisted of an introduction of a zero or lowered NDPI rate for taxpayers working on deposits in Eastern Siberia, as well as for exhausted and super viscous (bituminous) oil deposits. Starting in 2009, amendments to the Tax Code will provide a further decrease in the NDPI. The tax-free cut off price for the tax calculation will increase from $9 to $15 for barrel. In addition, there will be an opportunity of applying lower NDPI rates without the obligatory requirement of putting equipment for preferential deposits in commercial accounting units. For the tax payers working on remote deposits – new deposits on the continental shelf or above the Arctic Circle – tax vacations will result. Experts also believe that additional NDPI differentiation may result from the geological deterioration of developed deposits and the high sector rates of inflation.

First Segment of ESPO Commissioned
By Michael Barkov, Vice President of Transneft
On October 4, Transneft commissioned the first reverse segment on the main East Siberia-Pacific Ocean (ESPO) oil pipeline. The line extends 1,105 kilometers from the Talakan deposit in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) to the city of Taishet in the Irkutsk region. A year before the commissioning of the first ESPO stage, Transneft has created the necessary infrastructure to provide for the acceptance of oil from Eastern Siberia and Sakha (Yakutia) to the Russian pipeline system. Until that time, oil will move west, that is, in reverse direction. Transneft has already received applications from oil companies exceeding the 30 million ton capacity of the ESPO first stage.

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Russia Nearing Creation of a Gas OPEC, Kalmykia Remains Optimistic on Hydrocarbon Potential

Excerpts from Russian Petroleum Investor

Russia Nearing Creation of a Gas OPEC
by Inna Gaiduk
On October 21, Russia, Iran and Qatar declared creation of a “big gas troika” and indicated that the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) will soon become a permanently operating organization. The charter is subject to approval by the members in a December 23 Moscow meeting. In the interim, Gazprom has become more active in two directions. First, it is strengthening its presence and assets in those countries likely to become part of the future gas cartel. Second, it is beginning to form a pool of potential buyers and, simultaneously, strategic partners in the countries of the Asian-Pacific region. Both approaches are to offset the possibility of Europe taking a pro-American position and attempting to reduce the Russian presence in the European market.

Kalmykia Remains Optimistic on Hydrocarbon Potential
By Elena Kirillova
In 2007, the president of Kalmykia Kirsan Ilyumzhinov promised to transform the republic into “a second Kuwait” with annual crude oil production increasing to 5 million tons by 2020 (currently, it is almost 200,000 tons a year). However, few geologists share that conviction. Only foreign majors can handle the complex development and investment requirements. Nonetheless, Kalmykian authorities continue to express the opinion that discoveries of large deposits are not far off. Despite an abundance of investors searching for oil in the republic, nothing significant has yet emerged.

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Global Crisis Reaches Russian Oil and Gas Companies

Excerpt from Russian Petroleum Investor by By Svetlana Milyaeva

The global financial crisis has finally hit the real sector of the Russian economy, including hydrocarbons. The largest Russian banks have raised annual interest rates on ruble credits for oil and gas corporations. Second echelon banks have increased interest on loans to 18 percent and rates continue to grow. As a result, almost all participants in the oil and gas sector have already reduced programs of short-term loans, and many of them plan to revise 2009 investment programs.

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Gazprom Develops in South America

Excerpt from Russian Petroleum Investor

Recently, Gazprom signed a memorandum with Venezuelan state-owned company Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) to develop the shelf deposit Blanquilla Este y Tortuga. The project is the third phase ofanother large-scale project – Delta Caribe Oriental – costing a total of$20 billion (each phase has its own participants). The third phase shouldlaunch in 2016. Gazprom has a 15 percent holding in the project. PDVSA holds 60 percent, while Eni (Italy) and Petronas (Malaysia) each have 10 percent and Energias de Portugal holds 5 percent, according to a Gazprom manager. The cost of this phase amounts to $6.41 billion.

If the reserves are sufficient, a second stage will begin to construct capacities for liquefying gas, develop the deposit and sell gas both domestically and for export. This stage would create its own venture in which the participants would hold the same ownership positions as in the initial stage. The companies would retain the same stakes in all subsequent stages of the project.

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Why Indonesia Left OPEC

Excerpt from Russian Petroleum Investor by Inna Gaiduk, Editor-in-Chief

Recently, Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono declared that his country had pulled out of OPEC. The president said that Indonesia would concentrate on increasing oil production on its own. Daily production has currently declined to below 1 million barrels (136,425 tons). Increasing the extraction volume could take 1-3 years. In the mid 1990s, Indonesia daily production reached between 1.5 and 1.6 million barrels. By April of this year, that had declined to 860,000 barrels.

Indonesia imports about a third of its oil and production has slumped 49 percent from a peak in 1977, partly as disputes with ExxonMobil (US) delayed field developments and deterred investments. The nation, a member of OPEC since 1962, has considered leaving for the past three years as it failed to meet output targets stipulated within the producer group. “It was long overdue for Indonesia to step out because as a net importer it didn’t make sense to stay on,’’ said Anthony Nunan, assistant general manager for risk management at Mitsubishi Corp. in Tokyo. “And since they could not even make the quota, there was not much to gain anyway.”

The withdrawal from OPEC will help the nation save 2 million euros ($2.8 million) in membership fees a year, according to Indonesian Energy Minister Purnomo Yusgiantoro. Indonesia’s plan to leave OPEC became more pressing as crude prices in New York reached $147.27 a barrel on July 11.

OPEC includes 13 countries overseeing two-thirds of all oil global reserves. Indonesia was the only country of the Asian-Pacific region in the organization.

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